Sunday, September 21, 2014

GOLD



As shown on the chart, the price succeeded to touch its central yearly pivot at $1370.63 and to register a high at $1391.99 on Mars 16th, 2014 after getting up from $1182.39 on December 29th, 2013 which have entered a bearish three wave afterward and it is currently completing the wave 3 of C. According to that the last week it failed to break monthly support 2 at $1219.53 and the weekly candle that has been closed beneath that pivot level, it is expected to see more decline with the metal, so $1193-$1210 range as the end of minor wave 3, it seems that coincides with yearly pivot YTR2 on September 26th as well, is a good place for the fourth wave to start. So, around the aforementioned levels and above date we could be looking for a long trade to near $1280 which is also on the uptrend line. And from December 12th that is the yearly pivot 3, a huge drop to support 1 at $1045.60 is expected.
FX Street technical suggests that support for the gold in short term will be $1216 and the decline would be continued if this level is violated below then the next support level will be $1184.
According to this report the resistance level will be $1225-$1231 area short term., if this area is broken below, its price will reach to $1241 as well.
It seems the most effective factor on trend of the gold price in the coming days will be the dollar value volatilities against major currencies.
The analysts who exactly reviewed the past patterns of the gold believe that the future way the gold price could be highly bearish and the price will reach $1000 if $1180 level is broken below, according to the Reuters’.
Based on the report, Fibonacci analysis shows that the there is a likely gold strong selloff to $1150.
“The gold price has been under extreme pressure for the past 2 years. Having these pressures continued could bring down the price to 3 digits”, Nicole Elliot, Senior FX Market Analyst at Trading emphasised.
The Gold website said:
“The gold price probably will reach to lower than $1180-$1190 before the end of the 2014 and this price will go for less than $1000 in the next year.” Axele Rodolf, Comerse Bank Germany stressed.
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